Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominic Brown vs Leonardo Guimaraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-23-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Ju-Jitsu AcademyTeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dominic BrownNow 1421
If they win+12→ 1433
If they lose-12→ 1409
Leonardo GuimaraesNow 1432
If they win+15→ 1447
If they lose-17→ 1415

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dominic BrownLeonardo Guimaraes
140014502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
7 (44%)
Submission
8 (53%)
1 (6%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Guimaraes56%
Dominic Brown 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 56% favorite over Dominic Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1421 vs 1432), separated by just 11 points.

Dominic Brown finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.