Dominic Brown vs Sam Fournier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-23-0Record2-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Ju-Jitsu AcademyTeam
What's at stake
Sam Fournier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Dominic Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1434
If they lose-11→ 1410
If they win+21→ 1481
If they lose-27→ 1433
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dominic BrownSam Fournier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dominic Brown and Sam Fournier within a point of even.
Sam Fournier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1460 to 1421, a 39-point edge.
Sam Fournier enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dominic Brown finishes 94% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.