Dominic Clark vs Shane Mistretta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-13-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
159 lbsWeight169 lbs
PKGTeam
What's at stake
Shane Mistretta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dominic Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1515
If they lose-11→ 1491
If they win+15→ 1539
If they lose-17→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dominic ClarkShane Mistretta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Mistretta60%
Dominic Clark 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mistretta a 60% favorite over Dominic Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Shane Mistretta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1502, a 22-point edge.
Dominic Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shane Mistretta enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dominic Clark finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Shane Mistretta 83%.
Dominic Clark and Shane Mistretta share 1 common opponent: Adam Assenza.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.