Dominic Schober vs Keith Mielke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-15-0Record0-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gym 23· 1615 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Dominic Schober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Keith Mielke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1444
If they lose-17→ 1412
If they win+25→ 1435
If they lose-23→ 1387
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dominic SchoberKeith Mielke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keith Mielke54%
Dominic Schober 46%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Keith Mielke a 54% favorite over Dominic Schober in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dominic Schober's way (47%).
Dominic Schober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1429 to 1410, a 19-point edge.
Keith Mielke enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dominic Schober finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.