Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominic Schober vs Marcio Alexandre Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Dominic Schober
at

Dominic Schober

“Painless / The Dom”

16-15-0MiddleweightOKMMA

1428Developing

Tale of the tape

16-15-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gym 23· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAstra Fight Team· 1575 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Marcio Alexandre Junior is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Dominic Schober carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dominic SchoberNow 1428
If they win+17→ 1445
If they lose-15→ 1413
Marcio Alexandre JuniorNow 1450
If they win+22→ 1472
If they lose-26→ 1424

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dominic SchoberMarcio Alexandre Junior
14001450202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
6 (38%)
Submission
5 (31%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Alexandre Junior63%
Dominic Schober 37%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 63% favorite over Dominic Schober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Marcio Alexandre Junior holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1450 to 1428, a 22-point edge.

Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dominic Schober finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.