Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominic Waters vs Iwan Tagner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record2-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach73.2"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dominic WatersNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Iwan TagnerNow 1580
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
23%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
4.07
Takedown avg.
TBD
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
29%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dominic WatersIwan Tagner
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (100%)
5 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Iwan Tagner60%
Dominic Waters 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Iwan Tagner a 60% favorite over Dominic Waters in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1580), separated by just 1 points.

Iwan Tagner enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dominic Waters finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.