Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominic Waters vs Takashi Sato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dominic WatersNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Takashi SatoNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
23%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
40%
Strike defense
44%
4.07
Takedown avg.
0.76
53%
Takedown accuracy
38%
29%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dominic WatersTakashi Sato
160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
2 (20%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dominic Waters and Takashi Sato within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1579), separated by just 0 points.

Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Dominic Waters finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.