Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominic Waters vs Wiktor Zalewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record8-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dominic WatersNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Wiktor ZalewskiNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
23%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
4.07
Takedown avg.
TBD
53%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
29%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dominic WatersWiktor Zalewski
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
2 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Wiktor Zalewski62%
Dominic Waters 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wiktor Zalewski a 62% favorite over Dominic Waters in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dominic Waters's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1579), separated by just 0 points.

Dominic Waters finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Wiktor Zalewski 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.