Dominick Cruz vs Henry Cejudo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record16-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'4"
68"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Dominick Cruz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Henry Cejudo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1799
If they lose-13→ 1775
If they win+17→ 1787
If they lose-15→ 1755
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1782 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick CruzHenry Cejudo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Cruz56%
Henry Cejudo 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Cruz a 56% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Dominick Cruz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1770, a 18-point edge.
Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dominick Cruz finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Henry Cejudo 50%.
Dominick Cruz and Henry Cejudo share 3 common opponents: TJ Dillashaw, T.J. Dillashaw and Demetrious Johnson.
Dominick Cruz carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinDecision (Split) · 2016
WinTKO (punches) · 2019