Dominick Cruz vs Takeya Mizugaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamHakkei Gym
What's at stake
Dominick Cruz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Takeya Mizugaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1794
If they lose-18→ 1770
If they win+18→ 1626
If they lose-6→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick CruzTakeya Mizugaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Cruz83%
Takeya Mizugaki 17%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Cruz a 83% favorite over Takeya Mizugaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Dominick Cruz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1608, a 180-point edge.
Dominick Cruz finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.
Dominick Cruz and Takeya Mizugaki share 1 common opponent: Cody Garbrandt.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.