Dominick Reyes vs Dustin Jacoby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record22-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Dominick Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dustin Jacoby carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1763
If they lose-18→ 1731
If they win+14→ 1709
If they lose-10→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesDustin Jacoby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Reyes63%
Dustin Jacoby 37%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 63% favorite over Dustin Jacoby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Dominick Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1695, a 54-point edge.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Jacoby 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.