Dominick Reyes vs Jeremy Kimball
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record19-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach41,0"
205 lbsWeight213 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamTeam Wildman Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Dominick Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Kimball carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1759
If they lose-22→ 1727
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-8→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesJeremy Kimball
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Reyes79%
Jeremy Kimball 21%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 79% favorite over Jeremy Kimball in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Dominick Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1615, a 134-point edge.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Kimball 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.