Dominick Reyes vs Jon Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record28-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach84"
205 lbsWeight248 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Dominick Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1772
If they lose-9→ 1740
If they win+7→ 1924
If they lose-17→ 1900
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1773 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesJon Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Jones68%
Dominick Reyes 32%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 68% favorite over Dominick Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1917 to 1749, a 168-point edge.
Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.
Dominick Reyes and Jon Jones share 1 common opponent: Anthony Smith.
Jon Jones carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.