Dominick Reyes vs Nikita Krylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record31-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
Dominick Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Nikita Krylov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1762
If they lose-19→ 1730
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-10→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesNikita Krylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Reyes64%
Nikita Krylov 36%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 64% favorite over Nikita Krylov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Dominick Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1691, a 58-point edge.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Krylov 94%.
Dominick Reyes and Nikita Krylov share 2 common opponents: Johnny Walker and Ryan Spann.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.