Dominick Reyes vs Ovince St. Preux
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record27-18-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach80″
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKnoxville MMA
What's at stake
Dominick Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ovince St. Preux carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1762
If they lose-19→ 1730
If they win+14→ 1691
If they lose-10→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesOvince St. Preux
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Reyes86%
Ovince St. Preux 14%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Reyes a 86% favorite over Ovince St. Preux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Dominick Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1677, a 72-point edge.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ovince St. Preux 74%.
Dominick Reyes and Ovince St. Preux share 2 common opponents: Nikita Krylov and Ryan Spann.
Ovince St. Preux carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.