Dominik Drapáč vs Jack Nilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record2-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'3"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight215 lbs
TBDTeam
What's at stake
Dominik Drapáč is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Jack Nilson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1487
If they lose-27→ 1439
If they win+27→ 1446
If they lose-21→ 1398
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dominik DrapáčJack Nilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dominik Drapáč and Jack Nilson within a point of even.
Dominik Drapáč holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1419, a 47-point edge.
Dominik Drapáč enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.