Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominique Steele vs Luke Jumeau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Luke Jumeau
nz

Luke Jumeau

“The Jedi”

13-5-0WelterweightUFC

1537Average

Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74,0"Reach40.50
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team VisionTeamPhuket Top Team

What's at stake

Dominique Steele is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Luke Jumeau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dominique SteeleNow 1609
If they win+10→ 1619
If they lose-14→ 1595
Luke JumeauNow 1537
If they win+29→ 1566
If they lose-19→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
49%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.17
50%
Strike defense
58%
2.95
Takedown avg.
0.25
42%
Takedown accuracy
100%
76%
Takedown defense
87%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dominique SteeleLuke Jumeau
15001550160020182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
2 (10%)
Submission
4 (31%)
11 (55%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Dominique Steele63%
Luke Jumeau 37%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Dominique Steele a 63% favorite over Luke Jumeau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Dominique Steele holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1537, a 72-point edge.

Dominique Steele enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dominique Steele finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Luke Jumeau 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.