Combat Edge Intelligence

Dominique Steele vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record25-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team VisionTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Zak Cummings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dominique Steele carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dominique SteeleNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-8→ 1601
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+8→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
49%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
50%
Strike defense
55%
2.95
Takedown avg.
0.62
42%
Takedown accuracy
28%
76%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Dominique SteeleZak Cummings
1600165017001750202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
2 (10%)
Submission
12 (48%)
11 (55%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Zak Cummings72%
Dominique Steele 28%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 72% favorite over Dominique Steele in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Zak Cummings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1609, a 130-point edge.

Dominique Steele enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dominique Steele finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.