Combat Edge Intelligence

Don'Tale Mayes vs Gian Villante

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record17-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
81"Reach76"
264 lbsWeight261 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamBellmore Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don'Tale MayesNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Gian VillanteNow 1581
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.47
47%
Strike defense
55%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.45
39%
Takedown accuracy
23%
58%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Don'Tale MayesGian Villante
1600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
1 (9%)
Submission
2 (12%)
4 (36%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Don'Tale Mayes59%
Gian Villante 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Don'Tale Mayes a 59% favorite over Gian Villante in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gian Villante's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1581), separated by just 1 points.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Gian Villante 71%.

Don'Tale Mayes carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.