Don'Tale Mayes vs Jake Craig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record4-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
81"Reach-
264 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamShaved Bears MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Don'Tale Mayes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jake Craig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1608
If they lose-17→ 1576
If they win+25→ 1603
If they lose-23→ 1555
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Don'Tale MayesJake Craig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don'Tale Mayes60%
Jake Craig 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Don'Tale Mayes a 60% favorite over Jake Craig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Don'Tale Mayes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1593 to 1578, a 15-point edge.
Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jake Craig 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.