Don'Tale Mayes vs Jake Craig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-10-0Record5-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
81"Reach-
264 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamShaved Bears MMA· 1602 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Jake Craig is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Don'Tale Mayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1593
If they lose-15→ 1561
If they win+22→ 1625
If they lose-26→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Don'Tale MayesJake Craig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don'Tale Mayes58%
Jake Craig 42%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Don'Tale Mayes a 58% favorite over Jake Craig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Craig's way (46%).
Jake Craig holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1603 to 1576, a 27-point edge.
Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jake Craig 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.