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Combat Edge Intelligence

Don'Tale Mayes vs Jared Vanderaa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-10-0Record18-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
81"Reach80"
264 lbsWeight259 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don'Tale MayesNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Jared VanderaaNow 1575
If they win+12→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
47%
Strike defense
45%
0.59
Takedown avg.
0.18
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
47%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Don'Tale MayesJared Vanderaa
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
1 (9%)
Submission
7 (39%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Don'Tale Mayes61%
Jared Vanderaa 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Don'Tale Mayes a 61% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jared Vanderaa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jared Vanderaa 83%.

Don'Tale Mayes and Jared Vanderaa share 1 common opponent: Jake Craig.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
Jake Craig
LossTKO (Punches) · 2025