Combat Edge Intelligence

Don'Tale Mayes vs Luther Egerson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luther Egerson
us

Luther Egerson

“The Terrifier”

3-0-0Light HeavyweightLFA

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record3-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"HeightTBD
81"Reach-
264 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamWest Coast Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don'Tale MayesNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Luther EgersonNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
39%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Don'Tale MayesLuther Egerson
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (100%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Luther Egerson79%
Don'Tale Mayes 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luther Egerson a 79% favorite over Don'Tale Mayes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don'Tale Mayes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luther Egerson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Luther Egerson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.