Combat Edge Intelligence

Don'Tale Mayes vs Marcos Vinicius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record3-4-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"HeightTBD
81"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight225 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamAbsolute Combat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don'Tale MayesNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Marcos ViniciusNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
44%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
47%
Strike defense
47%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0
39%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Don'Tale MayesMarcos Vinicius
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcos Vinicius53%
Don'Tale Mayes 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Vinicius a 53% favorite over Don'Tale Mayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1581), separated by just 1 points.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcos Vinicius enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.