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Combat Edge Intelligence

Don'Tale Mayes vs Rodrigo Nascimento

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-10-0Record12-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'4"
81"Reach80"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Rodrigo Nascimento is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Don'Tale Mayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Don'Tale MayesNow 1576
If they win+18→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1562
Rodrigo NascimentoNow 1621
If they win+14→ 1635
If they lose-18→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
43%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
47%
Strike defense
45%
0.59
Takedown avg.
1.02
0%
Takedown accuracy
13%
47%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Don'Tale MayesRodrigo Nascimento
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
1 (9%)
Submission
6 (50%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Nascimento65%
Don'Tale Mayes 35%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 65% favorite over Don'Tale Mayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Rodrigo Nascimento holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1576, a 45-point edge.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rodrigo Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Nascimento 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.