Don'Tale Mayes vs Shamil Gaziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
81"Reach78"
264 lbsWeight261 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Shamil Gaziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Don'Tale Mayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1603
If they lose-9→ 1571
If they win+9→ 1739
If they lose-23→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don'Tale MayesShamil Gaziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Gaziev92%
Don'Tale Mayes 8%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gaziev a 92% favorite over Don'Tale Mayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Shamil Gaziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1580, a 150-point edge.
Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gaziev 87%.
Don'Tale Mayes and Shamil Gaziev share 1 common opponent: Thomas Petersen.
Don'Tale Mayes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.