Combat Edge Intelligence

Don'Tale Mayes vs Valter Walker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Valter Walker
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Valter Walker

“The Clean Monster”

15-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1741Good

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record15-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'6"
81"Reach 78"
264 lbsWeight264 lbs
Bronx Hill MMATeamGor MMA

What's at stake

Valter Walker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Don'Tale Mayes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Don'Tale MayesNow 1580
If they win+23→ 1603
If they lose-9→ 1571
Valter WalkerNow 1741
If they win+9→ 1750
If they lose-23→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
2
44%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
47%
Strike defense
43%
0.64
Takedown avg.
5.74
39%
Takedown accuracy
69%
58%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.55

Trajectory

Don'Tale MayesValter Walker
1600165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (33%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Valter Walker89%
Don'Tale Mayes 11%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Valter Walker a 89% favorite over Don'Tale Mayes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Valter Walker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1580, a 161-point edge.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Valter Walker enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Don'Tale Mayes finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Valter Walker 73%.

Don'Tale Mayes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.