Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Carlo-Clauss vs Joaquin Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'7"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
157 lbsWeight175 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamTeam Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don Carlo-ClaussNow 1547
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531
Joaquin GarciaNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Don Carlo-ClaussJoaquin Garcia
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (100%)
6 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquin Garcia60%
Don Carlo-Clauss 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Garcia a 60% favorite over Don Carlo-Clauss in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1548), separated by just 1 points.

Don Carlo-Clauss finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Garcia 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.