Don Frye vs Gary Goodridge
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-1Record23-22-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
73"ReachTBD
210 lbsWeight240 lbs
Team FryeTeamBig Daddy Fight Team
What's at stake
Don Frye is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Gary Goodridge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1620
If they lose-13→ 1596
If they win+13→ 1605
If they lose-11→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don FryeGary Goodridge
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don Frye60%
Gary Goodridge 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Don Frye a 60% favorite over Gary Goodridge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Don Frye holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1592, a 17-point edge.
Don Frye enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gary Goodridge enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Don Frye finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Gary Goodridge 96%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.