Don Frye vs Sam Adkins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-1Record7-20-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
73"ReachTBD
210 lbsWeight225 lbs
Team FryeTeamTBD
What's at stake
Don Frye is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Sam Adkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1614
If they lose-19→ 1590
If they win+19→ 1385
If they lose-5→ 1361
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don FryeSam Adkins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don Frye73%
Sam Adkins 27%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Don Frye a 73% favorite over Sam Adkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Don Frye holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1366, a 243-point edge.
Don Frye enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sam Adkins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Don Frye finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Sam Adkins 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.