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Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Frye vs Szymon Bajor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Frye
us

Don Frye

“The Predator”

20-9-1HeavyweightGC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

20-9-1Record26-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"Reach-
210 lbsWeight241 lbs
Team FryeTeamUniversal Rzeszow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don FryeNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597
Szymon BajorNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
65%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
37%
Strike defense
Not available
0.91
Takedown avg.
Not available
57%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
45%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.68
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Don FryeSzymon Bajor
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
11 (42%)
10 (53%)
Submission
9 (35%)
1 (5%)
Decision
6 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Szymon Bajor55%
Don Frye 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Szymon Bajor a 55% favorite over Don Frye in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Frye's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.

Don Frye enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Don Frye finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Szymon Bajor 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.