Don Madge vs Fares Ziam
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-1Record18-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72,5"Reach75″
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Don Madge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1606
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-20→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don MadgeFares Ziam
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fares Ziam88%
Don Madge 12%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 88% favorite over Don Madge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1618, a 93-point edge.
Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Fares Ziam 61%.
Fares Ziam carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.