Don Madge vs Fares Ziam
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-1Record18-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72,5"Reach75″
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Fares Ziam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Don Madge carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1639
If they lose-13→ 1607
If they win+13→ 1707
If they lose-19→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Don MadgeFares Ziam
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fares Ziam79%
Don Madge 21%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Fares Ziam a 79% favorite over Don Madge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Fares Ziam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1620, a 74-point edge.
Fares Ziam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Fares Ziam 61%.
Fares Ziam carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.