Don Madge vs Francisco Albano Barrio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-1Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
72,5"Reach67.7"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Don MadgeFrancisco Albano Barrio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don Madge51%
Francisco Albano Barrio 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Don Madge a 51% favorite over Francisco Albano Barrio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Albano Barrio's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.
Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Albano Barrio 69%.
Don Madge carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.