Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Madge vs Kafiz Sakibekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Don Madge
za

Don Madge

“Magic Man”

11-5-1WelterweightPFL

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72,5"Reach-
170 lbsWeight147 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamBrave Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don MadgeNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Kafiz SakibekovNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
67%
Strike defense
TBD
2.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.74
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Don MadgeKafiz Sakibekov
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
5 (45%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (9%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov71%
Don Madge 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 71% favorite over Don Madge in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Madge's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1618), separated by just 0 points.

Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Kafiz Sakibekov 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.