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Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Madge vs Kafiz Sakibekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Madge
za

Don Madge

“Magic Man”

11-5-1WelterweightPFL

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72,5"Reach-
170 lbsWeight147 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don MadgeNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Kafiz SakibekovNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
0.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
67%
Strike defense
Not available
2.22
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.74
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Don MadgeKafiz Sakibekov
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
5 (45%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (9%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov65%
Don Madge 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 65% favorite over Don Madge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.

Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Kafiz Sakibekov 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.