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Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Madge vs Nemat Abdrashitov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Madge
za

Don Madge

“Magic Man”

11-5-1WelterweightPFL

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record20-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
72,5"Reach-
170 lbsWeight157 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don MadgeNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Nemat AbdrashitovNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
0.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
67%
Strike defense
Not available
2.22
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
80%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.74
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Don MadgeNemat Abdrashitov
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
5 (45%)
Submission
7 (35%)
1 (9%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Nemat Abdrashitov53%
Don Madge 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nemat Abdrashitov a 53% favorite over Don Madge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.

Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Nemat Abdrashitov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.