Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Madge vs Rustam Asuev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Madge
za

Don Madge

“Magic Man”

11-5-1WelterweightPFL

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
72,5"Reach-
170 lbsWeight149 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamFight Club Berkut

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don MadgeNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Rustam AsuevNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
67%
Strike defense
TBD
2.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.74
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Don MadgeRustam Asuev
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (45%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (9%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Asuev66%
Don Madge 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 66% favorite over Don Madge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1622), separated by just 4 points.

Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.