Don Madge vs Te Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-1Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
72,5"Reach39,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Don Madge is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Te Edwards carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1634
If they lose-18→ 1602
If they win+27→ 1609
If they lose-21→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Don MadgeTe Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don Madge54%
Te Edwards 46%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Don Madge a 54% favorite over Te Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Don Madge holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1582, a 38-point edge.
Te Edwards enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Te Edwards 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.