Don Shainis vs Erik Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record9-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
67"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Citadel Martial Arts & FitnessTeamAntonio Silva Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don ShainisErik Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erik Silva52%
Don Shainis 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erik Silva a 52% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Shainis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1580), separated by just 0 points.
Erik Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Erik Silva 78%.
Erik Silva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.