Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Shainis vs John Franchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Shainis
us

Don Shainis

“Shameless”

15-8-0FeatherweightCFC

1578Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record6-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Citadel Martial Arts & FitnessTeamTeam Bombsquad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don ShainisNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
John FranchiNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
31%
Strike defense
49%
0.97
Takedown avg.
2.68
25%
Takedown accuracy
80%
20%
Takedown defense
40%
1.94
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Don ShainisJohn Franchi
155016001650200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
3 (20%)
Submission
2 (33%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Don Shainis and John Franchi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1577), separated by just 1 points.

Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, John Franchi 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.