Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Shainis vs Marco Novák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Shainis
us

Don Shainis

“Shameless”

15-8-0FeatherweightCFC

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record7-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
67"Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Citadel Martial Arts & FitnessTeamHanuman Gym Bratislava

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don ShainisNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Marco NovákNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
31%
Strike defense
TBD
0.97
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
20%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.94
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Don ShainisMarco Novák
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
3 (20%)
Submission
2 (29%)
4 (27%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Novák54%
Don Shainis 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Novák a 54% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Shainis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1572), separated by just 0 points.

Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marco Novák 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.