Don Shainis vs Marco Novák
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record7-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
67"Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don ShainisMarco Novák
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marco Novák60%
Don Shainis 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marco Novák a 60% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.
Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marco Novák 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.