Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Shainis vs Tetsuya Seki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Shainis
us

Don Shainis

“Shameless”

15-8-0FeatherweightCFC

1578Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record15-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
67"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Citadel Martial Arts & FitnessTeamSonic Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don ShainisNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Tetsuya SekiNow 1576
If they win+12→ 1588
If they lose-12→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
0
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
31%
Strike defense
TBD
0.97
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
20%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.94
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Don ShainisTetsuya Seki
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
3 (20%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (27%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Tetsuya Seki54%
Don Shainis 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tetsuya Seki a 54% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Shainis's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tetsuya Seki 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.