Donald Cerrone vs John Makdessi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-17-0Record18-9-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
73"Reach68"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
BMF RanchTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Donald Cerrone is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — John Makdessi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1720
If they lose-14→ 1696
If they win+19→ 1665
If they lose-13→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Donald CerroneJohn Makdessi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Donald Cerrone57%
John Makdessi 43%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Donald Cerrone a 57% favorite over John Makdessi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Donald Cerrone holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1646, a 64-point edge.
Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Donald Cerrone finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, John Makdessi 50%.
Donald Cerrone carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.