Donald Cerrone vs KJ Noons
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-17-0Record13-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"Reach39.00
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
What's at stake
Donald Cerrone is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — KJ Noons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1718
If they lose-15→ 1694
If they win+20→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Donald CerroneKJ Noons
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Donald Cerrone76%
KJ Noons 24%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Donald Cerrone a 76% favorite over KJ Noons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Donald Cerrone holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1709 to 1629, a 80-point edge.
Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
KJ Noons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Donald Cerrone finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, KJ Noons 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.