Donald Cerrone vs Mike Perry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
36-17-0Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
BMF RanchTeamIndependent
What's at stake
Donald Cerrone is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mike Perry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1697
If they win+17→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Donald CerroneMike Perry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Perry70%
Donald Cerrone 30%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Perry a 70% favorite over Donald Cerrone in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Donald Cerrone's way (47%).
Donald Cerrone holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1686, a 24-point edge.
Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Donald Cerrone finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mike Perry 80%.
Donald Cerrone carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.