Donald Cerrone vs Myles Jury
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-17-0Record19-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"Reach73.00
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
BMF RanchTeamPower MMA
What's at stake
Donald Cerrone is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Myles Jury carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1721
If they lose-13→ 1697
If they win+17→ 1711
If they lose-15→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Donald CerroneMyles Jury
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myles Jury61%
Donald Cerrone 39%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Myles Jury a 61% favorite over Donald Cerrone in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Donald Cerrone's way (48%).
Donald Cerrone holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1694, a 16-point edge.
Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Donald Cerrone finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Myles Jury 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.