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Combat Edge Intelligence

Donald Cerrone vs Taiyilake Nueraji

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

36-17-0Record12-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
73"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
BMF RanchTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Donald CerroneNow 1709
If they win+12→ 1721
If they lose-12→ 1697
Taiyilake NuerajiNow 1709
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
11.01
47%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.39
53%
Strike defense
59%
1.16
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
74%
Takedown defense
0%
1.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Donald CerroneTaiyilake Nueraji
165017001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (28%)
KO/TKO
11 (92%)
17 (47%)
Submission
1 (8%)
9 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Donald Cerrone54%
Taiyilake Nueraji 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Donald Cerrone a 54% favorite over Taiyilake Nueraji in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1709), separated by just 0 points.

Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Taiyilake Nueraji enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Donald Cerrone finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Taiyilake Nueraji 100%.

Taiyilake Nueraji carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.