Donavon Frelow vs Tarcísio Romano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-5-0Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Donavon FrelowTarcísio Romano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tarcísio Romano70%
Donavon Frelow 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 70% favorite over Donavon Frelow in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Donavon Frelow's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1519), separated by just 3 points.
Donavon Frelow enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Donavon Frelow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tarcísio Romano 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.