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Combat Edge Intelligence

Donavon Frelow vs Tarcísio Romano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamCerrado MMA· 1624 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Donavon FrelowNow 1522
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Tarcísio RomanoNow 1523
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.40
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
28%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
52%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
100%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
26%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Donavon FrelowTarcísio Romano
15001550202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
4 (67%)
Submission
2 (17%)
2 (33%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tarcísio Romano57%
Donavon Frelow 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 57% favorite over Donavon Frelow in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1522 vs 1523), separated by just 1 points.

Donavon Frelow enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Donavon Frelow finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tarcísio Romano 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.