Donegi Abena vs Matt Lucas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record15-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1552
If they lose-24→ 1504
If they win+24→ 1545
If they lose-24→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1490 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Donegi Abena66%
Matt Lucas 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Donegi Abena a 66% favorite over Matt Lucas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1521), separated by just 7 points.
Matt Lucas 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.