Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Kim vs Gilbert Burns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-4-1Record22-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun KimNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738
Gilbert BurnsNow 1745
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-12→ 1733

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
59%
Strike defense
52%
2.93
Takedown avg.
2.12
44%
Takedown accuracy
38%
72%
Takedown defense
54%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Dong Hyun KimGilbert Burns
170017501800201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
2 (9%)
Submission
9 (41%)
11 (50%)
Decision
7 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Burns53%
Dong Hyun Kim 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 53% favorite over Dong Hyun Kim in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dong Hyun Kim's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1745), separated by just 5 points.

Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Kim finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Burns 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.