Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Kim vs Jake Matthews

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Matthews
au

Jake Matthews

“The Celtic Kid”

23-8-0WelterweightUFC

1753Great

Tale of the tape

22-4-1Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamNexus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun KimNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738
Jake MatthewsNow 1753
If they win+12→ 1765
If they lose-12→ 1741

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
49%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
59%
Strike defense
60%
2.93
Takedown avg.
1.44
44%
Takedown accuracy
42%
72%
Takedown defense
64%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Dong Hyun KimJake Matthews
17001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
2 (9%)
Submission
9 (39%)
11 (50%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Matthews70%
Dong Hyun Kim 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 70% favorite over Dong Hyun Kim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1753), separated by just 3 points.

Dong Hyun Kim finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.